Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.445204 0.511067 0.582652 0.666149 0.760778 0.864604 0.987063
2025-02-16 0.319978 0.402908 0.500932 0.624998 0.777475 0.958362 1.188825
2025-02-23 0.240416 0.329996 0.444441 0.600571 0.807110 1.069960 1.428675
2025-03-02 0.185988 0.276826 0.401612 0.584074 0.842288 1.192527 1.701025
2025-03-09 0.150684 0.241847 0.375779 0.584491 0.898546 1.349745 2.042176
2025-03-16 0.121051 0.208713 0.345934 0.572922 0.934530 1.482355 2.366905
2025-03-23 0.102636 0.189074 0.332503 0.583047 1.003354 1.671234 2.799784
2025-03-30 0.084736 0.166423 0.309795 0.573632 1.038503 1.811219 3.173809
2025-04-06 0.073044 0.152271 0.298743 0.581522 1.102635 2.005017 3.658824
2025-04-13 0.060481 0.133761 0.276370 0.564954 1.120554 2.121604 4.025826
2025-04-20 0.054149 0.126326 0.273415 0.583849 1.205217 2.364734 4.643866
2025-04-27 0.049145 0.120617 0.272759 0.606820 1.300271 2.637287 5.346447
2025-05-04 0.042948 0.111109 0.262897 0.610034 1.357991 2.848935 5.964709
2025-05-11 0.037309 0.101681 0.251538 0.608201 1.405098 3.045736 6.578136
2025-05-18 0.032643 0.093594 0.241726 0.608112 1.455771 3.255617 7.242433
2025-05-25 0.028604 0.086196 0.232165 0.606951 1.503755 3.465373 7.930522
2025-06-01 0.025755 0.081346 0.227930 0.617714 1.580205 3.744446 8.796740
2025-06-08 0.022528 0.074666 0.217806 0.612223 1.617620 3.942101 9.507742
2025-06-15 0.020599 0.071359 0.215948 0.627471 1.707126 4.266750 10.536774
2025-06-22 0.018065 0.065564 0.206204 0.620270 1.739669 4.463533 11.295136
2025-06-29 0.016448 0.062330 0.203110 0.630672 1.818692 4.778938 12.364232
2025-07-06 0.014216 0.056448 0.191116 0.614007 1.824055 4.916484 13.023240
2025-07-13 0.013295 0.054933 0.192119 0.635254 1.934962 5.327847 14.393647